MetaCap

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) vs Merlin (MRLN)

Head-to-head comparison of performance, valuation, growth, profitability and dividends. Prices delayed 15 minutes; data as of Oct 9, 2026.

Summary

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) has outperformed Merlin (MRLN) over the past year, losing 33.3% versus a loss of 87.4%. Firefly Aerospace is the larger company by market cap ($3.46 billion vs $137.5 million), about 25.2 times the size.

Summary generated from market data by MetaCap's automated system. Methodology

Relative performance

FLY-33.32%MRLN-87.42%
+99%+1%-96%
Oct 8, 20251 yearOct 8, 2026
FLY-58.80%MRLN-86.85%
+37%-28%-93%
Aug 4, 20255 yearsOct 5, 2026

Percent change in share price from the first common trading day shown; excludes dividends.

Head-to-head

FLY versus MRLN key metrics
MetricFLYMRLN
Share price$20.67$1.36
Market cap$3.46B$137.45M
1-day change-3.91%-3.55%
YTD return-7.60%-87.31%
1-year return-33.32%-87.42%
EPS (TTM)$-0.26$-5.85
Dividend yield0.00%0.00%
Annual dividend$0.00$0.00
Revenue (latest FY)$159.85M—
Revenue growth (YoY)+162.95%—
Net income (latest FY)$-298.34M—
Gross margin19.18%—
Operating margin-163.08%—
Net margin-186.63%—
52-week high$62.17$17.00
52-week low$16.00$1.31
Distance from 52-week high-66.75%-92.00%
Analyst consensusnonestrong_buy
Avg. price target upside+84.71%+530.88%
Average volume3.18M2.21M
Shares outstanding167.40M101.07M
Employees1,409—
SectorIndustrialsTechnology
IndustryMilitary/Government/TechnicalEDP Services

Highlighted cells mark the higher value for growth, returns, margins and yield, and the lower value for P/E ratios. Highlighting is a mechanical comparison, not a recommendation.

Key differences

  • Firefly Aerospace is about 25.2 times larger than Merlin by market value ($3.46B vs $137.45M).
  • FLY has outperformed MRLN by 54.1 percentage points over the past year.
  • The two companies sit in different sectors: Firefly Aerospace in Industrials and Merlin in Technology.

About Firefly Aerospace

FLY stock →

Firefly Aerospace Inc. operates as a space and defense technology company and provides mission solutions for national security, government, and commercial customers in United States.

Industrials · Military/Government/Technical · 1,409 employees

About Merlin

MRLN stock →

Merlin, Inc., an aerospace and defense technology company, develops AI-powered autonomous flight software and systems for aircraft in the United States and New Zealand. The company provides an aircraft-agnostic, AI-powered software platform that enables autonomous flight for both legacy and next-generation airborne systems.

Technology · EDP Services

FLY vs MRLN FAQ

Which is bigger, Firefly Aerospace or Merlin?

Firefly Aerospace (FLY) is larger, with a market capitalization of $3.46B compared with $137.45M for Merlin (MRLN).

Which stock has performed better over the past year, FLY or MRLN?

FLY returned -33.32% over the past 12 months, compared with -87.42% for MRLN (price return, excluding dividends). Past performance does not predict future results.

Are Firefly Aerospace and Merlin in the same industry?

No. Firefly Aerospace is in the Industrials sector, while Merlin is in Technology.

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